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CoViD19 vs Flu both need masks


Nat Suwarnasarn
 

CoViD19 vs Influenza (A&B)

 

 

From: Nat Suwarnasarn [mailto:njsarn9@...]
Sent: Wednesday, April 08, 2020 9:56 AM
To:
Cc:
Subject: RE: Masks - Yes much needed

 

Masks, much needed.

There was a discussion on PAPA analog by an Insurance guy that the deaths due to CoViD19 is small (~13,087 so far) compared to the numbers of US deaths due to Flu could be as high as ~ 59,000 during 2019-2020 Flu season (actual Flu data not out yet)

Analyzing the (US) data:

·         Dividing CoViD19 deaths 13,087 by 3 months = ~ 4,000 per months.  (Total infected cases = 406,585)

o   Insurance guy didn’t notice the death rate per infected is 13,087*100 / 406,858 = 3.21%

·         Dividing Flu deaths 59,000 by 6 months = ~ 10,000 per months (Total infected cases  ~ 45,000,000)

o   Flu death rate = 59,000*100 / 45,000,000 = 0.13%

 

   So the virulent of CoViD19 to Flu is about 3.21 / 0.13 = 24.7 or 25 times more deadly.

    

Flu nfo from article > https://www.health.com/condition/cold-flu-sinus/how-many-people-die-of-the-flu-every-year 

Live CoViD19 data > https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

 

73’ Nat S. N6BRV